Lusitano GC Évora vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LOU
2 - 1
LGC
47%
22%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LGC
2 - 1
1DE
60%
19%
22%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
OLH
5 - 1
LGC
71%
18%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LGC
2 - 2
AMO
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FAB
3 - 1
LGC
15%
19%
67%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ORI
2 - 2
SFU
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
EDL
0 - 1
ORI
23%
25%
53%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ORI
2 - 1
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 1
ORI
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RDA
4 - 1
ORI
39%
27%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |