Lusitania FC vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
13º
1º
30
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
LUS
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
2 - 2
BMA
33%
26%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
LUS
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
4 - 1
GUA
43%
22%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LUS
3 - 3
RES
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
0 - 2
GON
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
REB
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ALP
2 - 1
LEC
7%
18%
75%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LEC
3 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |