Lushnja vs Apolonia Fier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
12º
10º
46
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 1
LUS
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
LUS
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
VOR
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KRU
1 - 1
LUS
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 2
BYL
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
APO
2 - 0
KRU
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
APO
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
KRU
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BYL
3 - 1
APO
61%
23%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
APO
1 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |