Lurgan Celtic vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lurgan Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 2
BAL
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LCE
2 - 2
INS
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
LCE
40%
25%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
LCE
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LCE
1 - 2
AUN
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ARC
4 - 3
ARD
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 2
DER
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 3
HAR
52%
23%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 4
ARD
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 1
DON
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |