Lupa Cast Rom vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
63.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.4%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
LCR
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LCR
0 - 1
FCC
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
TER
2 - 1
LCR
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 0
LCR
58%
24%
17%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LCR
1 - 1
AKR
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
CAT
13%
23%
64%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 1
AKR
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JUS
2 - 1
CAT
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
AKR
1 - 0
CAT
13%
17%
70%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |