CD Lugo vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
ROD
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 4
LUG
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 2
DEP
16%
27%
57%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 1
ALC
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 0
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
OVI
0 - 3
CDT
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LEG
3 - 2
OVI
48%
27%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
OVI
1 - 0
ATH
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
OVI
0 - 3
DEP
19%
28%
54%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
OVI
2 - 0
RUN
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |