CD Lugo vs Extremadura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
ULP
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 3
LUG
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
COX
1 - 1
LUG
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LUG
3 - 1
RMC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
RVB
1 - 1
LUG
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
EXT
2 - 1
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LEG
2 - 0
EXT
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
EXT
0 - 1
ALC
39%
26%
36%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ATB
2 - 1
EXT
66%
21%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
EXT
1 - 1
UBC
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |