Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-3
CD Lugo vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
LUG
0 - 0
EIB
43%
31%
26%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
LAL
0 - 0
LUG
38%
32%
31%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ARN
2 - 1
LUG
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
LUG
4 - 1
PON
60%
25%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
AVI
2 - 0
LUG
43%
29%
27%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
ARN
0 - 0
CON
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
MIR
1 - 1
ARN
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1987 |
ARN
2 - 1
LUG
41%
29%
30%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +4 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
ATB
0 - 0
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
ARN
3 - 3
PBL
28%
29%
43%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |