Liga Nacional 2ª Fase Grupo I - Fase Permanencia round 5

Lugo U19 B vs UD Ourense U19 analysis

Lugo U19 B UD Ourense U19
9 ELO 10
-3% Tilt -4.1%
17855º General ELO ranking 18072º
3992º Country ELO ranking 4130º
ELO win probability
49.9%
Lugo U19 B
21.3%
Draw
28.8%
UD Ourense U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
Lugo U19 B
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.8%
Win probability
UD Ourense U19
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lugo U19 B
+187%
+27%
UD Ourense U19

ELO progression

Lugo U19 B
UD Ourense U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lugo U19 B
Lugo U19 B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
POR
Porriño Industrial U19
6 - 1
Lugo U19 B
LUG
34%
23%
43%
12 9 3 0
01 May. 2021
LUG
Lugo U19 B
2 - 1
Rápido De Bouzas A
RAP
78%
14%
9%
12 6 6 0
24 Apr. 2021
VAL
Valladares Sub 19
2 - 3
Lugo U19 B
LUG
19%
20%
61%
11 5 6 +1
17 Apr. 2021
LUG
Lugo U19 B
4 - 0
Ourense CF U19
OUR
76%
15%
10%
11 5 6 0
28 Mar. 2021
VIL
Racing Club Villalbés
1 - 0
Lugo U19 B
LUG
38%
23%
40%
12 10 2 -1

Matches

UD Ourense U19
UD Ourense U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
OUR
UD Ourense U19
1 - 1
Victoria CF U19
VIC
49%
21%
29%
9 10 1 0
01 May. 2021
ACO
Atlético Coruña M. U19
2 - 2
UD Ourense U19
OUR
36%
22%
42%
10 8 2 -1
24 Apr. 2021
OUR
UD Ourense U19
2 - 2
Lalín EF Sub 19
LAL
69%
17%
14%
10 7 3 0
17 Apr. 2021
OVA
SD O Val Sub 19
2 - 3
UD Ourense U19
OUR
24%
20%
56%
9 5 4 +1
28 Mar. 2021
ALO
Alondras U19
1 - 0
UD Ourense U19
OUR
49%
22%
30%
10 11 1 -1