FC Lugano vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
4 - 2
SIO
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 3
LUG
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAD
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
THU
1 - 2
ZUR
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
SIO
1 - 0
ZUR
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
0 - 3
DEL
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
26%
27%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |