FC Lugano vs Chiasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
WIN
0 - 0
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
0 - 1
GCZ
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 1
BIE
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LUG
2 - 0
SER
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 2
LUG
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
WOH
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 3
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SCH
4 - 0
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIN
26%
27%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LEM
0 - 1
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |