FC Lugano vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1995 |
INT
0 - 1
LUG
65%
21%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
SER
2 - 3
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
BAS
1 - 0
YOB
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
YOB
1 - 2
NEX
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
SIO
4 - 1
YOB
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
ZUR
0 - 0
YOB
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
SER
0 - 0
YOB
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |