Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 1
CSK
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 5
LUD
17%
21%
62%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
3 - 3
FLK
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
LUD
4 - 0
HEB
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 3
LUD
19%
25%
57%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 1
BOT
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
CSK
49%
27%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
CSK
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 1
SSO
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 4
BOT
22%
26%
52%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |