Luçon vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
COL
5 - 1
LUC
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
DUN
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
LPS
0 - 0
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 3
GDB
65%
21%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
PON
1 - 1
LUC
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
RED
0 - 0
PFC
47%
29%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
VAN
1 - 1
RED
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
RED
0 - 0
STR
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
RED
2 - 1
FRE
26%
28%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 1
RED
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |