Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 3-1
Lucchese Libertas vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
ASL
2 - 1
PAD
49%
29%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASL
46%
30%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 0
VER
34%
31%
35%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASL
65%
23%
13%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
ASL
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
VNZ
0 - 1
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
FIO
1 - 0
VNZ
87%
9%
4%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 3
VNZ
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +5 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PIS
44%
30%
26%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 0
VNZ
61%
22%
16%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |