Lucchese Libertas vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
57%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 0
ASL
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 0
USA
51%
22%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
NAP
4 - 2
ASL
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 0
INT
25%
22%
53%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1937 |
SAM
0 - 2
LAZ
31%
21%
48%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1937 |
LAZ
1 - 0
NOV
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1937 |
JUV
6 - 1
LAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |