Lucena vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CAD
1 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROQ
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 0
LUC
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LUC
3 - 1
PUE
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
JUM
0 - 3
LUC
15%
24%
61%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 0
ECI
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SRQ
1 - 0
RJA
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
40%
30%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
RJA
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
BET
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |