Lucena vs RC Portuense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
G74
0 - 3
LUC
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
ROQ
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 0
LUC
60%
24%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
BAL
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
57%
27%
17%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
RC Portuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
PUE
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
AGD
5 - 1
POR
58%
25%
17%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CDL
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 0
POR
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |