Lucena vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
40%
28%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
5 - 1
BET
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 1
LUC
15%
27%
58%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
AGD
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
41%
30%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CPC
3 - 1
CFB
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 0
BAL
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BET
1 - 1
CPC
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CPC
1 - 0
SPO
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AGD
2 - 3
CPC
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |