Lucena vs Águilas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 2
ECI
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
SEV
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 1
ECI
21%
24%
55%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SRQ
2 - 0
AGU
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
AGU
0 - 2
SEV
25%
27%
49%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
EST
2 - 0
AGU
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 2
RJA
21%
28%
52%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +1 |