Gallia Lucciana vs USC Cortenais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
3º
3º
1
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
3 | 50 |
1º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 46 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
|
1º
|
7 | 45 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 42 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 41 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 38 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 36 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 30 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 15 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 10 |
14º
|
65% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AGD
0 - 2
LUC
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUC
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUC
5 - 1
EUA
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STC
1 - 3
LUC
19%
20%
60%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 1
ASC
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
USC Cortenais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
COR
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 5
BEA
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 1
COR
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
COR
1 - 2
LUC
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |