3. Liga round 36

VfB Lübeck vs MSV Duisburg analysis

VfB Lübeck MSV Duisburg
55 ELO 59
-1.4% Tilt 3.5%
3227º General ELO ranking 2347º
88º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
25.5%
VfB Lübeck
25.7%
Draw
48.7%
MSV Duisburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
VfB Lübeck
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.7%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
VfB Lübeck
-2%
+22%
MSV Duisburg

Points and table prediction

VfB Lübeck
Their league position
MSV Duisburg
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
19º
19º
34
20º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ulm
77
77
100%
Preußen Münster
67
67
100%
Jahn Regensburg
63
63
100%
Dynamo Dresden
62
62
100%
1. FC Saarbrücken
60
60
0%
Erzgebirge Aue
60
60
0%
Rot-Weiss Essen
59
59
100%
Sandhausen
56
56
100%
Unterhaching
55
55
100%
Ingolstadt 04
10º
54
54
10º
100%
B. Dortmund II
11º
54
54
11º
100%
Verl
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Viktoria Köln
13º
49
49
13º
100%
Arminia Bielefeld
14º
46
46
14º
0%
1860 München
15º
46
46
15º
0%
Waldhof Mannheim
16º
43
43
16º
100%
Hallescher FC
17º
40
40
17º
100%
MSV Duisburg
18º
34
34
18º
100%
VfB Lübeck
19º
32
32
19º
100%
Freiburg II
20º
30
30
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
VfB Lübeck
MSV Duisburg
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

VfB Lübeck
MSV Duisburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

VfB Lübeck
VfB Lübeck
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2024
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 0
VfB Lübeck
LUB
69%
20%
11%
53 70 17 0
20 Apr. 2024
LUB
VfB Lübeck
0 - 5
B. Dortmund II
BOR
18%
24%
58%
54 66 12 -1
13 Apr. 2024
UNT
Unterhaching
4 - 1
VfB Lübeck
LUB
65%
21%
14%
54 65 11 0
06 Apr. 2024
LUB
VfB Lübeck
0 - 0
Verl
VER
17%
22%
61%
54 65 11 0
31 Mar. 2024
VIK
Viktoria Köln
1 - 0
VfB Lübeck
LUB
69%
19%
12%
54 66 12 0

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2024
MSV
MSV Duisburg
3 - 1
Sandhausen
SVS
28%
25%
47%
59 68 9 0
20 Apr. 2024
ING
Ingolstadt 04
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
55%
24%
21%
60 67 7 -1
12 Apr. 2024
MSV
MSV Duisburg
1 - 1
Waldhof Mannheim
WAL
31%
25%
45%
59 65 6 +1
07 Apr. 2024
ROT
Rot-Weiss Essen
4 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
56%
23%
22%
60 65 5 -1
31 Mar. 2024
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
53%
25%
22%
61 68 7 -1