VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
STP
1 - 1
LUB
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
LUB
4 - 1
DIE
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2005 |
ROT
1 - 2
LUB
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
LUB
4 - 0
WAT
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 1
LUB
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
HAM
0 - 3
BSV
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
ERF
2 - 0
HAM
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2005 |
HAM
2 - 0
WER
40%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
WUP
4 - 3
HAM
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
HAM
0 - 4
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |