1. NL round 12

Lučko vs HNK Gorica analysis

Lučko HNK Gorica
51 ELO 57
-10.9% Tilt 6.3%
7645º General ELO ranking 881º
66º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.8%
Lučko
26.9%
Draw
44.3%
HNK Gorica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
Lučko
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.3%
Win probability
HNK Gorica
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lučko
-5%
-31%
HNK Gorica

ELO progression

Lučko
HNK Gorica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lučko
Lučko
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2016
LUK
Lučko
3 - 3
NK Sesvete
NKR
19%
25%
56%
51 64 13 0
08 Oct. 2016
IMO
Imotski
3 - 2
Lučko
LUK
42%
26%
32%
51 51 0 0
01 Oct. 2016
LUK
Lučko
1 - 1
NK Dugopolje
NKD
33%
28%
38%
51 56 5 0
28 Sep. 2016
RUD
NK Rudes
7 - 1
Lučko
LUK
63%
21%
16%
52 59 7 -1
24 Sep. 2016
NOV
Novigrad
1 - 0
Lučko
LUK
44%
26%
31%
53 52 1 -1

Matches

HNK Gorica
HNK Gorica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2016
RUD
NK Rudes
1 - 1
HNK Gorica
HNG
52%
24%
24%
58 59 1 0
07 Oct. 2016
HNG
HNK Gorica
1 - 0
Dinamo Zagreb II
ZAG
49%
28%
22%
58 56 2 0
01 Oct. 2016
HNS
HNK Sibenik
0 - 0
HNK Gorica
HNG
50%
25%
25%
58 60 2 0
28 Sep. 2016
SOL
NK Solin
2 - 1
HNK Gorica
HNG
24%
26%
51%
59 48 11 -1
24 Sep. 2016
HNG
HNK Gorica
4 - 0
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
HDR
51%
27%
22%
58 53 5 +1