Lovcen vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
LOV
1 - 1
PET
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SUT
4 - 0
LOV
75%
18%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LOV
1 - 1
GRB
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
LOV
1 - 0
ZET
25%
28%
48%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MLA
3 - 2
LOV
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
BUD
14%
27%
58%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 3
SUT
12%
25%
64%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 4
GRB
20%
28%
51%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ZET
2 - 0
MOR
66%
22%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 3
MLA
20%
29%
52%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |