Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Lovcen vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
IKD
1 - 3
LOV
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LOV
1 - 3
RUD
38%
30%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
LOV
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PET
1 - 0
LOV
54%
27%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LOV
0 - 0
BUD
23%
29%
48%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MLA
1 - 0
MOR
69%
20%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
IKD
36%
28%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
LOV
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
RUD
1 - 1
MOR
51%
28%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
PET
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |