Loughgall vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOU
61%
21%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 1
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
ARC
0 - 2
LOU
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 0
LOU
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 2
GLE
9%
14%
77%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
KNO
1 - 1
LAR
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 2
LAR
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LCE
0 - 5
LAR
10%
17%
74%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
LAR
23%
22%
55%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |