Loughgall vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
LOU
49%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
PSN
3 - 1
LOU
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LOU
6 - 0
DER
78%
14%
9%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 2
LOU
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 0
KNO
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 4
HAR
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
CAR
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 0
KNO
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
DER
0 - 2
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |