Championship 1 Temporada Regular round 19

Loughgall vs Carrick Rangers analysis

Loughgall Carrick Rangers
50 ELO 49
25.8% Tilt 7%
2182º General ELO ranking 2593º
11º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
57.2%
Loughgall
21.5%
Draw
21.3%
Carrick Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
Loughgall
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.3%
Win probability
Carrick Rangers
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Loughgall
-30%
-10%
Carrick Rangers

ELO progression

Loughgall
Carrick Rangers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Loughgall
Loughgall
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2018
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 2
Loughgall
LOU
49%
24%
28%
50 49 1 0
01 Dec. 2018
PSN
PSNI
3 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
40%
25%
35%
51 48 3 -1
24 Nov. 2018
LOU
Loughgall
6 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
78%
14%
9%
50 41 9 +1
17 Nov. 2018
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
0 - 2
Loughgall
LOU
55%
23%
22%
50 54 4 0
10 Nov. 2018
LOU
Loughgall
4 - 0
Knockbreda
KNO
52%
22%
26%
47 49 2 +3

Matches

Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2018
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 4
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
42%
26%
32%
51 53 2 0
01 Dec. 2018
POR
Portadown
0 - 2
Carrick Rangers
CAR
60%
22%
19%
49 54 5 +2
24 Nov. 2018
CAR
Carrick Rangers
3 - 0
Knockbreda
KNO
46%
25%
29%
48 48 0 +1
17 Nov. 2018
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 2
Carrick Rangers
CAR
37%
24%
39%
48 43 5 0
10 Nov. 2018
CAR
Carrick Rangers
1 - 3
Ballinamallard United
BAL
55%
23%
23%
48 46 2 0