Loughborough vs Darwen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loughborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1899 |
LUT
2 - 2
LOU
71%
16%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1899 |
LOU
4 - 1
LUT
20%
22%
59%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 1899 |
ARS
3 - 1
LOU
78%
13%
9%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1899 |
LOU
2 - 0
BAR
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 1899 |
LOU
2 - 4
LIN
19%
20%
61%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Darwen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1899 |
BPO
6 - 0
DAR
65%
18%
16%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1899 |
DAR
1 - 1
BIR
19%
19%
62%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1899 |
DAR
1 - 1
BAR
29%
24%
48%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1899 |
POR
3 - 1
DAR
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1899 |
DAR
0 - 2
BUR
25%
22%
54%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |