Lossiemouth vs Inverurie Loco Works analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
69%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
18º
14º
50
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lossiemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 0
LOS
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LOS
0 - 3
BRE
6%
14%
80%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
LOS
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
5 - 0
LOS
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 0
FOR
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
INV
0 - 4
FRA
12%
17%
71%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 0
INV
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
INV
4 - 0
DEV
86%
10%
5%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
INV
2 - 4
CLA
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 2
INV
12%
16%
72%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |