Los Cabos vs Real Apodaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
12º
10º
20
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Cabos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DUR
2 - 0
LCU
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LCU
3 - 2
CIM
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
LCU
1 - 1
TAM
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 0
LCU
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LCU
0 - 0
DUR
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Apodaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CIM
3 - 0
RAF
66%
22%
13%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
3 - 2
EST
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
3 - 1
RAF
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COL
0 - 6
RAF
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 3
EST
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |