Lorient vs Arles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
LOR
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GIR
1 - 0
LOR
64%
21%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 1
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ARL
1 - 1
LYO
9%
19%
72%
|
64 | 90 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 0
ARL
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 4
AUX
18%
28%
54%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
MPL
3 - 1
ARL
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 1
CAE
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |