Lorient II vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 1
LOR
60%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 2
SAU
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 1
LOR
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAE
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
PAC
18%
26%
56%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 2
FON
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FON
0 - 0
CAR
21%
27%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LEH
2 - 1
FON
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FON
0 - 1
LEM
33%
28%
39%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |