Lorca Deportiva vs Águilas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 1
ULP
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
IMP
2 - 1
LOR
21%
28%
51%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AGD
0 - 2
LOR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LOR
2 - 1
BET
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
POR
2 - 1
LOR
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
AGU
0 - 0
IMP
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 1
AGU
37%
27%
35%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
ALF
1 - 0
AGU
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
AGU
43%
28%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |