Longuera-Toscal vs CD La Oliva Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
7º
14º
7º
7
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
10 | 79 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
1º
|
12 | 67 |
2º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 53 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 49 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 49 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 39 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 38 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 37 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 37 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 36 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 33 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 28 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 24 |
16º
|
26% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
8% | 39% |
|
Possible next round
|
6.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
19% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longuera-Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
LON
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
SOB
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
LON
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
LON
2 - 2
JUV
20%
22%
58%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 0
LON
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD La Oliva Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 0
JUV
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDJ
1 - 1
CDL
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
DOR
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
CDL
24%
23%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDL
5 - 1
SFE
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |