Longuera-Toscal vs CD La Oliva Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
14º
12º
18
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 83 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 69 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 50 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 49 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 45 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 41 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 37 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 36 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 34 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 30 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 29 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 26 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 22 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
3% | 27% |
|
Possible next round
|
4% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation
|
30.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longuera-Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
LON
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
SOB
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PAS
1 - 0
LON
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
LON
2 - 2
JUV
20%
22%
58%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 0
LON
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD La Oliva Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 0
JUV
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDJ
1 - 1
CDL
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
DOR
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MEN
1 - 1
CDL
24%
23%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDL
5 - 1
SFE
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |