Locomotive Tbilisi vs Merani Martvili analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
10º
8º
26
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Locomotive Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DTB
3 - 1
LOK
84%
12%
4%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 2
SIO
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SIO
5 - 2
LOK
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LOK
0 - 1
SAB
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 0
LOK
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Merani Martvili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
SPA
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
KOL
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
MER
4 - 2
WIT
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 0
MER
46%
24%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
SPA
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |