Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-2
Lokomotive Leipzig vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotive Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
LOK
3 - 0
SVM
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 1
SWA
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
ERF
4 - 3
LOK
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 1
FVF
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
SWA
0 - 1
LOK
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
VEL
6 - 1
JEU
71%
16%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
JEU
1 - 1
VEL
50%
21%
29%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
TWE
2 - 0
VEL
89%
8%
3%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -4 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
VEL
1 - 0
TWE
17%
24%
59%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1974 |
VEL
4 - 1
DER
13%
24%
63%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | +3 |