Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
16º
14º
12
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 71 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 59 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 53 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 53 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 48 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 43 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 38 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 32 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 32 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
11 | 26 |
14º
|
22% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 25 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 22 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 1
CVA
26%
30%
45%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
LSO
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 6
LSO
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
SEP
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 2
BER
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
4 - 0
BVR
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 3
BOT
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |