Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
16º
12º
7
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 66 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 52 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 47 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 45 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 44 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 32 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 27 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
7.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
92% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
0 - 0
CSK
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
2 - 1
CVA
26%
30%
45%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
LSO
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
1 - 6
LSO
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
SEP
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 1
BVR
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 2
BER
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LSO
4 - 0
BVR
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BVR
1 - 3
BOT
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |