Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 5-7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
LUD
3 - 1
LPL
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LOV
6 - 2
LPL
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LPL
1 - 1
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
LPL
1 - 2
LUD
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
BVR
1 - 1
LPL
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
RKC
1 - 3
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 0
NEC
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
VIT
48%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |