A PFG Jor. 3

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Spartak Varna
75 ELO 63
17.5% Tilt -8.4%
938º General ELO ranking 1796º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
73.3%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
16.7%
Draw
10%
Spartak Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10%
Win probability
Spartak Varna
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-6%
+14%
Spartak Varna

ELO progression

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 1975
BOT
Botev Plovdiv
2 - 2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
51%
27%
23%
75 68 7 0
10 Aug. 1975
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 - 0
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
63%
21%
16%
75 75 0 0
18 Jun. 1975
DUN
Dunav Ruse
2 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
49%
27%
24%
75 74 1 0
14 Jun. 1975
LPL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 - 1
Lokomotiv Sofia
LSO
64%
20%
15%
75 75 0 0
01 Jun. 1975
BVR
Botev Vratsa
3 - 0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
57%
23%
20%
77 71 6 -2

Matches

Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Aug. 1975
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 1
Levski Sofia
LSO
35%
30%
35%
63 78 15 0
10 Aug. 1975
DUN
Dunav Ruse
3 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
60%
24%
16%
63 75 12 0
18 May. 1974
BVR
Botev Vratsa
5 - 0
Spartak Varna
SVA
68%
19%
12%
64 72 8 -1
12 May. 1974
SVA
Spartak Varna
1 - 0
Beroe
BER
40%
29%
31%
64 72 8 0
28 Apr. 1974
CSK
CSKA Sofia
4 - 3
Spartak Varna
SVA
78%
15%
8%
64 78 14 0
X