Lodigiani vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
PES
1 - 0
LOD
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
LOD
0 - 1
CAT
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 0
LOD
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
LOD
1 - 0
NOC
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
AVE
0 - 0
LOD
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
LAQ
2 - 1
AVE
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
TAR
27%
26%
47%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 0
LAQ
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 1
VIS
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
GIU
2 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |