Challenge League Jor. 23

Locarno vs FC Wil analysis

Locarno FC Wil
49 ELO 65
6.2% Tilt 9.9%
8617º General ELO ranking 1937º
110º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
16.5%
Locarno
21.9%
Draw
61.6%
FC Wil

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
Locarno
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.6%
Win probability
FC Wil
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Locarno
+14%
-11%
FC Wil

ELO progression

Locarno
FC Wil
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Locarno
Locarno
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2014
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 0
Locarno
LOC
74%
17%
9%
50 67 17 0
15 Feb. 2014
LOC
Locarno
0 - 1
Schaffhausen
SCH
14%
20%
66%
50 68 18 0
09 Feb. 2014
WIN
Winterthur
2 - 1
Locarno
LOC
68%
20%
12%
50 65 15 0
09 Dec. 2013
LOC
Locarno
0 - 4
Servette
SER
17%
24%
60%
51 70 19 -1
04 Dec. 2013
WOH
Wohlen
0 - 4
Locarno
LOC
50%
24%
26%
50 52 2 +1

Matches

FC Wil
FC Wil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2014
WIL
FC Wil
6 - 1
Servette
SER
38%
26%
36%
63 69 6 0
16 Feb. 2014
CHI
Chiasso
0 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
20%
24%
56%
63 54 9 0
02 Feb. 2014
WIL
FC Wil
1 - 0
Winterthur
WIN
40%
25%
36%
63 66 3 0
08 Dec. 2013
SCH
Schaffhausen
2 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
46%
24%
30%
64 66 2 -1
30 Nov. 2013
WIL
FC Wil
3 - 0
Locarno
LOC
71%
18%
11%
63 50 13 +1
X