Lobos BUAP vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
LOB
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 1
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ZAC
2 - 2
LOB
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
LOB
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LOB
3 - 2
UDG
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
UDG
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CIM
0 - 1
MER
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAF
1 - 0
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
TEP
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |