Apertura Ascenso MX round 10

Lobos BUAP vs Venados FC analysis

Lobos BUAP Venados FC
60 ELO 65
10.1% Tilt 1.9%
15283º General ELO ranking 1176º
114º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
38.2%
Lobos BUAP
25.6%
Draw
36.2%
Venados FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
Lobos BUAP
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.2%
Win probability
Venados FC
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lobos BUAP
Venados FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lobos BUAP
Lobos BUAP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2008
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Lobos BUAP
LOB
46%
26%
28%
60 61 1 0
14 Sep. 2008
VER
Veracruz
6 - 1
Lobos BUAP
LOB
69%
19%
12%
61 72 11 -1
07 Sep. 2008
LOB
Lobos BUAP
2 - 1
Atlante II
ATL
65%
20%
15%
60 54 6 +1
31 Aug. 2008
JAG
Tuxtla FC
4 - 4
Lobos BUAP
LOB
33%
26%
41%
60 49 11 0
23 Aug. 2008
LOB
Lobos BUAP
3 - 2
Atlético Mexiquense
MEX
56%
24%
20%
60 59 1 0

Matches

Venados FC
Venados FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Sep. 2008
MER
Venados FC
2 - 1
Orizaba
ORI
58%
23%
19%
65 61 4 0
13 Sep. 2008
MER
Venados FC
1 - 0
Pumas Morelos
PUM
59%
23%
18%
65 61 4 0
31 Aug. 2008
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 2
Venados FC
MER
38%
27%
36%
64 61 3 +1
22 Aug. 2008
MER
Venados FC
1 - 0
Veracruz
VER
34%
28%
38%
63 73 10 +1
18 Aug. 2008
ATL
Atlante II
0 - 3
Venados FC
MER
32%
26%
41%
63 56 7 0