Lobos BUAP vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AME
5 - 1
LOB
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LOB
1 - 1
PUM
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PAC
3 - 1
LOB
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
LOB
2 - 0
PUM
36%
25%
40%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LOB
0 - 2
QRO
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JUA
1 - 1
DOR
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ZAC
4 - 2
JUA
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
JUA
0 - 0
UAP
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PUM
3 - 0
JUA
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
UAT
0 - 0
JUA
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |