FAW Championship Norte round 8

Llay Welfare vs Caersws analysis

Llay Welfare Caersws
19 ELO 36
4.3% Tilt 1.9%
12935º General ELO ranking 6999º
80º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
12.2%
Llay Welfare
15%
Draw
72.8%
Caersws

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
Llay Welfare
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
72.7%
Win probability
Caersws
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Llay Welfare
+357%
+43%
Caersws

ELO progression

Llay Welfare
Caersws
Colwyn Bay
Denbigh Town
Guilsfield FC
Llandudno FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Llay Welfare
Llay Welfare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2024
PRE
Prestatyn Town
6 - 2
Llay Welfare
LLW
83%
11%
7%
16 32 16 0
26 Aug. 2024
CPD
Bangor 1876
3 - 0
Llay Welfare
LLW
84%
10%
6%
17 42 25 -1
23 Aug. 2024
LLW
Llay Welfare
2 - 5
Holywell
HOL
16%
21%
63%
17 61 44 0
17 Aug. 2024
AIR
Airbus UK
1 - 0
Llay Welfare
LLW
86%
9%
5%
17 56 39 0
09 Aug. 2024
COL
Colwyn Bay
1 - 1
Llay Welfare
LLW
80%
13%
7%
16 52 36 +1

Matches

Caersws
Caersws
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2024
CAE
Caersws
0 - 1
Mold Alexandra
MOL
35%
23%
42%
39 43 4 0
26 Aug. 2024
HOL
Holywell
3 - 1
Caersws
CAE
77%
15%
8%
39 61 22 0
16 Aug. 2024
DEN
Denbigh Town
2 - 0
Caersws
CAE
45%
22%
33%
41 37 4 -2
10 Aug. 2024
CAE
Caersws
2 - 1
Ruthin Town
RTW
43%
24%
33%
39 43 4 +2
03 Aug. 2024
FMC
Flint Mountain
2 - 3
Caersws
CAE
21%
19%
61%
38 26 12 +1