Llay Welfare vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
72.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llay Welfare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PRE
6 - 2
LLW
83%
11%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CPD
3 - 0
LLW
84%
10%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LLW
2 - 5
HOL
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 61 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AIR
1 - 0
LLW
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
LLW
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
0 - 1
MOL
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 0
CAE
45%
22%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
RTW
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FMC
2 - 3
CAE
21%
19%
61%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |