Llanelli AFC vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 2
LLA
14%
22%
64%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 2
PRE
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 4
LLA
50%
22%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
LLA
15%
23%
62%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
NEA
4 - 0
WES
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 0
NEA
27%
25%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
5 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEA
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
TNS
40%
26%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |