Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-3
Llanelli AFC vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
MHE
0 - 1
LLA
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 1
CON
83%
11%
5%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
2 - 1
NEA
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 1
LLA
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LLA
0 - 1
RHY
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
MHE
0 - 1
LLA
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MHE
1 - 2
KIL
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 3
MHE
38%
30%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
MHE
2 - 2
ICT
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
STM
1 - 3
MHE
39%
30%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |