Livorno vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
VNZ
1 - 0
LIV
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 1
LEC
52%
28%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
PIS
3 - 0
LIV
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
PAD
1 - 2
LIV
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 2
ASS
56%
27%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
MES
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
3 - 1
REG
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |