Livorno vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
MES
0 - 0
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 0
ROM
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
TRE
0 - 1
LIV
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEC
41%
25%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
LIV
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 1
SIE
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 1
ASC
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 92 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASC
74%
16%
9%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACM
12%
25%
63%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASC
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |